{"id":18167,"date":"2023-06-11T23:53:13","date_gmt":"2023-06-11T20:53:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/homeland-news.net\/?p=18167"},"modified":"2023-06-11T23:58:11","modified_gmt":"2023-06-11T20:58:11","slug":"inside-the-cia-red-cell-how-an-experimental-unit-transformed-the-intelligence-community","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/homeland-news.net\/?p=18167","title":{"rendered":"Inside the CIA Red Cell How an experimental unit transformed the intelligence community."},"content":{"rendered":"

New York – Rashad – Alkhader – Homeland News – From – EXCERPT<\/a>\u00a0– From News – CIA<\/p>\n

Around midnight on Sept. 12, 2001, then-Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet summoned his chief of staff, John Moseman, and the CIA\u2019s deputy director of intelligence, Jami Miscik, to his seventh-floor office in the Original Headquarters Building in Langley, Virginia. In the aftermath of the previous day\u2019s unprecedented terrorist attacks, senior White House officials were confident that there were additional plots against the U.S. homeland \u2014 and that the CIA needed to better anticipate the range of threats that officials should be prepared for. Tenet decided to form a group of contrarian thinkers to challenge conventional wisdom in the intelligence community and mitigate the threat of additional surprises through \u201calternative analysis.\u201d On that evening, his instructions were simple: \u201cTell me things others don\u2019t and make [senior officials] feel uncomfortable.\u201d<\/p>\n

\"<>
<> on February 19, 2009 in Fairfax, Virginia.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

The following morning, Miscik and two senior analysts formed the CIA\u2019s Red Cell, which has been a semi-independent unit within the agency ever since. It is devoted to \u201calternative analysis,\u201d which includes techniques like \u201cwhat ifs,\u201d Team A\/Team B exercises, and premortem analysis, all of which are used to identify holes in a plan, model an adversary to understand their weaknesses, or consider all of the conceivable ways a plan can fail beforehand. The term \u201cRed Cell\u201d was chosen by Tenet personally; he believed it sounded alluring and conspiratorial. Previous comparable units had received limited time and freedom to truly think outside the box. As the recently declassified June 2005 CIA Office of Inspector General\u2019s review of pre-9\/11 analysis determined, there was only one example of alternative analysis produced by the Counterterrorism Center\u2019s Assessments and Information Group, and its analysts \u201crecall utilizing no alternative analysis, and \u2018did not have the luxury to do so.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n

* * *
\nAnalysts lack this luxury because they are absorbed in conducting \u201cmainline\u201d or authoritative analysis, which is intended to chronicle and interpret reality for policymakers. This includes \u201csetting the scene\u201d of the political dynamics in a foreign country before elections, estimating the likelihood of an event occurring, or warning about longer-term strategic trends. As Robert Gates, former deputy director of central intelligence and then director, proclaimed: \u201c[Authoritative analysis] is the bread and butter of intelligence\u2026. Policymakers value, depend upon, and have grown so accustomed to it that this must always be our focus.\u201d However, Gates continued, policymakers become drawn to speculative and unorthodox views, \u201cbecause when presented with the \u2018school solution,\u2019 they know the world isn\u2019t that simple, and they mistrust people who tell them there\u2019s only one outcome.\u201d<\/p>\n

Miscik recalled that the initial goal of the Red Cell was to get fresh sets of eyes to reconsider the range of terror threats: \u201cWe wanted creative people who could take the existing reporting and put it back together in different ways.\u201d Or, as Paul Frandano, who co-directed the Red Cell during its first four years, put it more directly, \u201cTenet charged us to piss off senior analysts. If we weren\u2019t doing that, we weren\u2019t doing our job.\u201d By design, the initial Red Cell did not include any terrorism experts and only had one Middle East specialist. Members were individually selected for their analytical capabilities, creativity, and unique mindsets. They were a mix of junior analysts, one mid-level federal employee, as well as senior CIA analysts, a National Security Agency analyst, and a CIA case officer.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

New York – Rashad – Alkhader – Homeland News – From – EXCERPT\u00a0– From News – CIA Around midnight on Sept. 12, 2001, then-Director of Central Intelligence George Tenet summoned his chief of staff, John Moseman, and the CIA\u2019s deputy director of intelligence, Jami Miscik, to his seventh-floor office in the Original Headquarters Building in …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":18168,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[29],"tags":[],"yoast_head":"\nInside the CIA Red Cell How an experimental unit transformed the intelligence community. - \u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u0639\u064a\u0646 \u0627\u062e\u0628\u0627\u0631 \u0627\u0644\u0648\u0637\u0646 \u0627\u0644\u062d\u0631 Inside the CIA Red Cell How an experimental unit transformed the intelligence community.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/homeland-news.net\/?p=18167\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"ar_AR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Inside the CIA Red Cell How an experimental unit transformed the intelligence community. - 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